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Old 10-18-2005   #61 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

Does the cone represent wind effects or margin of error?
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Old 10-18-2005   #62 (permalink)
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Icon7 Re: Wilma !!!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Erin
Does the cone represent wind effects or margin of error?
Highest Probability of eyewall track.

Here is a scary one. 72hour within 75mile of center strike probability.
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Old 10-19-2005   #63 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

Ok does anyone know what the tempature is of the gulf right now? if it's warm that will give her fuel.... Fingers crossed.
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Old 10-19-2005   #64 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

Here are the water temps.
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Old 10-19-2005   #65 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ready2Go
Here are the water temps.

Ummm yeah... LOL
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Old 10-19-2005   #66 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

well for those that don't know I work for the sheriff's office, anyways the news just called us and told us Wilma is now a Cat 4, and expected to intensify.. sigh
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Old 10-19-2005   #67 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

And now a cat five, 175 miles per hours
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Old 10-19-2005   #68 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

I hope I don't sound selfish here because that's not my intention, but will this be over with on Wednesday when I fly down? I want to keep my options open and my head clear in case dates haveto be adjusted etc and would prefer to think about that now instead of next tuesday. Who knows?
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Old 10-19-2005   #69 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

It looks like they are saying the storm should hit the western coast of Fl on Sunday morning.
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Old 10-19-2005   #70 (permalink)
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Icon13 Re: Wilma !!!

Very Very Bad!!!!!!!!!

Cat 5: Winds, as of 8amEST, 175mph Sustained to 215mph Gusts and could be higher! Pressure: 882 mb

Strongest Atlantic Hurricane Ever .


There has never been a hurricane like Wilma before. With an unbelievable round of intensification that saw the pressure drop 85 mb in just 12 hours, Wilma smashed the all-time record for lowest pressure in an Atlantic hurricane this morning. The 4 am hurricane hunter report put the pressure at 884 mb from a dropsonde, and the meteorologist reported an even lower 881 mb pressure extrapolated from 10,000 feet flight altitude. This easily bests the previous record of 888 mb set in Hurricane Gilbert of 1988. The eye of Wilma during this round of intense deepening oscillated between 2 and 4 nautical miles, and the area of hurricane force winds only covered an area up to 15 miles from the center. This is an incredibly compact, amazingly intense hurricane, the likes of which has never been seen. The Hurricane Season of 2005 keeps topping itself with new firsts, and now boasts three of the five most intense hurricanes of all time--Katrina, Rita, and Wilma.
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Old 10-19-2005   #71 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

Models !!!!!!!!!
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Old 10-19-2005   #72 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dana
I hope I don't sound selfish here because that's not my intention, but will this be over with on Wednesday when I fly down? I want to keep my options open and my head clear in case dates haveto be adjusted etc and would prefer to think about that now instead of next tuesday. Who knows?
I don't think that sounds selfish at all. Your plans are important to you.

It certainly didn't make me roll my eyes like what I just heard on the radio did: "The Hurricane may effect the Georgia Tech/Miami game on Saturday!" Now THAT was a big "so what" for me. Yeah, I know, people have plans about those things, too... but why should football be So Much More Important than anything else!
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Old 10-19-2005   #73 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

Here is a great site that maps a bunch of models to google maps:

http://www.heidelbergerconsulting.com/hurrimap/

You can use the check boxes at the bottom to turn on and off model paths.

We are shutting down tomorrow at noon...then my work really begans.

Latest news is Cat 4 (maybe a strong 3) making land fall Saturday morning around 8am.
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Old 10-19-2005   #74 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

Tigger are you still alone down there??

Stay safe. Aren't you on the beach?

Tigs, why don't you come up to WDW and enjoy the fact that they rarely lose power!!!

Get away from that coast.

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Old 10-19-2005   #75 (permalink)
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Re: Wilma !!!

Here is the most recent computer model. Also read this web log from Jeff Masters. Here is the link: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html


I did not sleep 3 hours last night thinking about this. I have my work's blessing to postpone it for a week, but I am holding out that this thing will not go where they "think" it will and might be a wet noddle
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